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Current report by NASA Asteroid warning indicates that the asteroid 2024 YR4 has about a 3.1% probability that it will actually hit Earth in 2032. This is certainly much higher than prior estimates. This asteroid was first observed at the El Sauce Observatory in Chile on December 27, 2023. Roughly 177 feet in diameter, this object is large enough on collision to wipe out a city.
Meteor shock modeling
By way of a newly generated video simulation created by 3D animator Alvaro Gracia Montoya, the detail of devastation inflicted by this asteroid comes alive. The previously discussed video animation caused mass extinction via impacts on several large towns.
By Parsec & Starlight
It’s not lost on researchers that, even with that daunting outlook, calmness is preferable to panic. “Those probabilities will lessen if astronomers can sharpen their calculations,” says Bruce Betts, chief scientist at the Planetary Society.
Current Monitoring and Planetary Protection Efforts
The whole global early warning and asteroids monitoring system has been tracking 2024 YR4, along with a number of partners around the world. In January 2024, a warning letter was sent out when levels of hazard had risen beyond 1%. These figures have changed since then and continue to rise.
Based on the most recent estimates made by NASA, the asteroid may collide on December 22, 2032; the remaining 96.9% is a non-collision. The ongoing research by specialists is likely to be able to clear it altogether in the eventuality of the same.
Recent News Updates Regarding the Asteroid Scare
While the asteroid poses certain risks, it should be reiterated that NASA. Also, the global space organizations continuously observe these kinds of celestial objects. Planetary defense steps in place to deflect these impacts will remain top of the priority list to lessen any associated risks.